DATA ANALYSIS

Year	No.	Offer	Mode	Description			Cred. Pts
96	64001 	S3  	X 	DATA ANALYSIS             	1.00

Contents


STAFFING:

Examiner: A. PLANK
Moderator: C. ROBERTS

RATIONALE:

Practitioners in many disciplines are often required to deal with observations of variable phenomena and imprecise or approximate measurements. Statistics provides tools which help to identify the underlying nature of such phenomena, to evaluate the precision of the measurements, to discover the strength of the relationships between variables and to make predictions about the likelihood of particular events occurring in the future. This unit provides the statistical concepts, methods and skills necessary for students in business, engineering and the physical and social sciences to analyse and interpret data. Because these concepts are interdisciplinary in nature, students will encounter problems from many sources including their own area of interest. The statistical skills developed in this unit will form the basis for more advanced statistical methods and concepts in specialist fields.


SYNOPSIS:

Students will be introduced to the concepts involved in descriptive and inferential statistics. Topics include the role of statistics in a scientific investigation, methods of condensing, displaying, describing and presenting data, elementary descriptive statistics, elementary probability, the binomial, Poisson and normal distributions, single-sample inference, comparison of frequencies, regression and correlation, and inference for two or more samples.


OBJECTIVES:

Upon completion of this unit, students should be able to:

  1. Recognize the need for, and the steps involved in, a sound scientific procedure for experiments and investigations in their discipline;
  2. Use statistics correctly in helping the results of their experiments and investigations withstand critical evaluation;
  3. Use appropriate pictorial representations and displays to help in interpretation and presentation of data;
  4. Calculate and interpret measures of central tendency and dispersion, and use the appropriate measure in a given situation;
  5. Compute probabilities for mutually exclusive events, dependent and independent events and apply these techniques to commonly- occurring situations;
  6. Describe and be able to apply the properties of the binomial, poisson and normal distributions in the appropriate circumstances;
  7. Make statistical inferences based on a single random sample;
  8. Use the chi-squared statistic to make inferences about frequencies;
  9. Evaluate and correctly interpret the correlation between two variables;
  10. Fit the Least Squares line of regression to a set of bivariate data and correctly interpret and use this line;
  11. Make statisical inferences about means based on two or more samples.

TOPICS:

 Description                                                    Weighting(%)
  1. Scientific method and the role of statistics. Statistics 1.00 in everyday life, Logic and statistical reasoning, a metho- dology for conducting an investigation and analysing the data obtained from such an investigation, statistical universe, population, sample error, descriptive statistics, inferential statistics.

  2. Data organization and models. Quantitative and 4.00 qualitative data, qualitative and quantitative variables, discrete and continuous variables, measurement scales, dependent and independent variables, univariate, bivariate and multi- variate data.

  3. Pictorial presentation of data. Data reduction, frequency 4.00 distributions, frequency polygons, histograms, bar graphs, ogive, pie charts, stem-and-leaf plots, pictograms, misuse of graphical techniques.

  4. Numerical descriptions of grouped and ungrouped data. 7.00 Measures of central tendency and dispersion - their properties, calculation and application. Mean, mode, median, range, standard deviation and quantiles. Coefficient of variation. Skewness and symmetry. Abuse of statistics.

  5. Elementary Probability. Sample space, sets, union, 9.00 intersection mutually exclusive sets. Classical, relative subjective approaches to probability. Laws of probability. Conditional probability and marginal probability, additive and multiplicative laws, dependent and independent events.

  6. Models for discrete random processes. Random variables. 7.00 Binomial and Poisson distributions as models. Determining probabilities associated with these distributions. Mean, variance and other characteristics of these distributions.

  7. A model for some continuous random processes. The normal 9.00 distribution, its characteristics and properties. The standardized normal distribution, tables, properties and applications. Sampling distributions and the Central Limit Theorem and its applications to the mean of a random sample and the sample proportion.

  8. Sampling and statistical inference. Reasons for sampling, 21.00 sampling schemes, types of sampling. Selecting a random sample. Point and interval estimation of sample means and proportions for large samples. The Student's t- distribution. Interval estimation for small samples when the population variance is unknown. Sample size determination. Hypothesis testing. Rationale, Type 1 and Type 2 errors. Framing hypotheses. One-tailed and two- tailed tests. Large and small sample tests concerning the population mean and proportion. Tests concerning the association between frequency data. The chi-squared distribution and its properties. Tests for independence in contingency tables.

  9. Regression and correlation. Concept of correlation, 14.00 measure of correlation, positive, negative and zero correlation. Pearson product-moment correlation. The coefficient of determination. Correct interpretation of correlation. Linear regression, the method of least squares, the line of best fit. Determination of the regression y = a + bx, interpretation of the slope and y- intercept of the regression line. Residuals, standard error of estimate. Prediction intervals. Cautions in the use of regression analysis.

  10. Statistical inference for two or more samples. Random 20.00 sampling distributions of the difference between two means. Independent and dependent sampling. Assumptions underlying inferences about the difference between two means. The pooled estimate of variance. Use of the t- distribution for inferences based on small samples. Degrees of freedom. Advantages and disadvantages of using dependent samples. Confidence intervals for the difference between two population means. Sources of variation in an experiment and their control. One-way Analysis of Variance. The F-distribution. Assumptions underlying the use of analysis of variance.

  11. Review and Revision. 4.00


TEXT and MATERIALS to be PURCHASED:

Levin, R J & D S Rubin, 'Statistics for Management', 6th edn, Prentice-
Hall International, 1994.

Quinn, K J D, 'Eton Statistical and Mathematical Tables', 4th Edition,
Eton, Christchurch, NZ, 1974.


STUDENT WORKLOAD REQUIREMENTS:

	ACTIVITY				HOURS
Private Study                                 	142
Examinations                                  	3
Assessments                                   	20

ASSESSMENT DETAILS:

No	*F/S	Marks		Due		Description					Wtg(%)		LBL
1 	S 	100.00  	13/12/96	ASSIGNMENT ON TOPICS 1, 2, 3, 4         	8.00    	Y
2 	S 	100.00  	03/01/97	ASSIGNMENT ON TOPICS 5, 6, 7            	8.00    	Y
3 	S 	100.00  	24/01/97	ASSIGNMENT ON TOPICS 8,9                	8.00    	Y
4 	S 	30.00   	END S3  	3 HOUR EXAM (OPEN BOOK) PT A            	46.00   	N
5 	S 	30.00   	END S3  	PART B OF ABOVE EXAM                    	30.00   	N

F=Formative, S=Summative

OTHER REQUIREMENTS:

1    To   obtain   a   pass  in  the  unit,  students   must   perform
     satisfactorily in all aspects of assessment.
2    The  due date for assessments is the date by which a student must
     despatch an assignment to the USQ. The onus is on the student  to
     provide proof of the despatch date, if requested by the Examiner.
3    Students  MUST  retain a copy of all assignments  which  must  be
     produced if and when required by the Examiner.
4    Extensions   for  assignment  submission  may   be   granted   in
     extenuating  circumstances. The decision to grant  or  refuse  an
     extension is made by the Examiner. Students should be aware  that
     an  application  for  an  extension does not  guarantee  that  an
     extension will be granted.
5    Students  apply for extension by either applying at the  time  of
     submitting  an  assignment  or  applying  in  writing  prior   to
     submitting  an  assignment.  All  relevant  documentation  should
     accompany the application.
6    If  assignments are submitted after the due date and no extension
     is  granted,  then  a  penalty up to a  maximum  of  20%  of  the
     assignment mark for each working day late may apply.
7    No  further assignments will be accepted for assessment  purposes
     after  assignments or model solutions have been released,  except
     in extenuating circumstances.

This information is accurate as at 02/12/96