64001 DATA ANALYSIS

Year	No.	Offer	Mode	Description			Cred. Pts
97	64001 	S3  	X 	DATA ANALYSIS             	1.00

Contents


STAFFING:

Examiner: R. DARNELL
Moderator: C. ROBERTS

RATIONALE:

Practitioners in many disciplines are often required to deal with observations of variable phenomena and imprecise or approximate measurements. Statistics provides tools which help to identify the underlying nature of such phenomena, to evaluate the precision of the measurements, to discover the strength of the relationships between variables and to make predictions about the likelihood of particular events occurring in the future. This unit provides the statistical concepts, methods and skills necessary for students in business, engineering and the physical and social sciences to analyse and interpret data. Because these concepts are interdisciplinary in nature, students will encounter problems from many sources including their own area of interest. The statistical skills developed in this unit will form the basis for more advanced statistical methods and concepts in specialist fields.


SYNOPSIS:

Students will be introduced to the concepts involved in descriptive and inferential statistics. Topics include the role of statistics in a scientific investigation, methods of condensing, displaying, describing and presenting data, elementary descriptive statistics, elementary probability, the binomial, Poisson and normal distributions, single-sample inference, comparison of frequencies, regression and correlation, and inference for two or more samples.


OBJECTIVES:

On completion of this unit students should be able to:

  1. recognise the relevance and importance of statistical methods
    in their respective discipline;
  2. choose and apply appropriate graphical and numerical tolls for
    organising, describing and exploring data;
  3. understand the basic principles of sample selection and
    experimental design;
  4. select and apply appropriate statistical tools to perform a
    range of inferential analyses;
  5. critically appraise the relevance, validity and accuracy of
    arguments based on data;
  6. make appropriate use of a statistical computer package.

TOPICS:

 Description                                                    Weighting(%)
  1. Examining Distributions. 16.00 Displaying distributions with graphs - categorical and quantitative variables, histograms, relative frequencies, stemplots, bar charts, shape, skewness, outliers. Describing distributions with numbers - mean, median, quartiles, boxplots, interquartile range, standard deviation, variance, degrees of freedom. The normal distribution - density curves, 68-95-99.7 rule, standardised observations, standard normal, using normal tables, assessing normality.

  2. Examining Relationships. 14.00 Scatterplots - interpretation, association, linearity, subplots, outliers. Correlation - interpretation. Least squares regression - interpretation

  3. Producing Data. 8.00 Designing samples - simple random samples, stratified sampling, multistage sampling, surveys, problems and cautions. Populations, inference, probability. Designing experiments - comparative experiments, completely randomised experiments, main principles of design, statistical significance, cautions.

  4. Sampling Distributions and Probability. 16.00 Sampling distributions - sampling variability, parameters and statistics, simulation, bias, precision. Probability, randomness, basic facts, equally likely outcomes, random variables, discrete distributions, mean and standard deviation, law of large numbers, continuous distributions, normal distributions. Sample proportions - sampling distribution, normal approximation. The binomial distribution - sample counts, binomial probabilities, mean and standard deviation. Sample means - sampling distribution, central limit theorem, law of large numbers.

  5. Introduction to Inference. 12.00 Estimation - point estimates, statistical confidence, confidence intervals, margin of error, C.I. for a population mean, sample size, cautions. Hypothesis testing - null and alternative hypotheses, reasoning, procedure, one and two-sided alternatives, p-values and statistical significance, tests for a population mean, tests with fixed significance level, tests from confidence intervals. Using significance tests - choosing a significance level, statistical and practical significance, cautions, multiple analyses. Inference as decision - type I and II errors, power, interpretation.

  6. Inference for means 8.00 - the t distribution, tests and C.I.'s, matched pairs procedure, assumptions, robustness. Comparing two means - comparative studies, sampling distribution, unpooled t procedure, assumptions, robustness.

  7. Inference for proportions 8.00 - assumptions, the z procedure, sample size, comparing two proportions, sampling distribution, tests and C.I.

  8. Inference for Two-way Tables. 8.00 Multiple comparison problem, two-way tables, expected counts, the chi-square test and distribution, test of equality of proportions, test of independence, robustness, comparison with z-test, follow-up analysis.

  9. Inference for Regression. 10.00 Introduction - the regression model. Inference about the model - C.I. for the slope, testing for a linear relationship, inference for prediction. Checking assumptions.


TEXT and MATERIALS to be PURCHASED:

Moore, D. 1995, The Basic Practice of Statistics, Freeman.

1996, Pace2000, Addison-Wesley.

Notz, W. & Busam, R. 1995, Study Guide for Moore's The Basic Practice
of Statistics
, Freeman. (external students only).


STUDENT WORKLOAD REQUIREMENTS:

	ACTIVITY				HOURS
Private Study                                 	142
Examinations                                  	3
Assessments                                   	20

ASSESSMENT DETAILS:

No  *F/S Marks     Due        Description                              Wtg(%)    LBL
1   S    100.00    12/12/97  ASSIGNMENT                                10.00     Y
2   S    100.00    02/01/98  ASSIGNMENT                                10.00     Y
3   S    100.00    23/01/98  ASSIGNMENT                                10.00     Y
4   S    30.00     END SEM   3 HOUR EXAM (RESTRICTED) PART A           30.00     N
5   S    40.00     END S3    PART B OF ABOVE EXAM                      40.00     N

*F=Formative, S=Summative

OTHER REQUIREMENTS:

1    To   obtain   a   pass  in  the  unit,  students   must   perform
     satisfactorily in all aspects of assessment.
2    The  due date for assessments is the date by which a student must
     despatch an assignment to the USQ. The onus is on the student  to
     provide proof of the despatch date, if requested by the Examiner.
3    Students  MUST  retain a copy of all assignments  which  must  be
     produced if and when required by the Examiner.
4    Extensions   for  assignment  submission  may   be   granted   in
     extenuating  circumstances. The decision to grant  or  refuse  an
     extension is made by the Examiner. Students should be aware  that
     an  application  for  an  extension does not  guarantee  that  an
     extension will be granted.
5    Students  apply for extension by either applying at the  time  of
     submitting  an  assignment  or  applying  in  writing  prior   to
     submitting  an  assignment.  All  relevant  documentation  should
     accompany the application.
6    If  assignments are submitted after the due date and no extension
     is  granted,  then  a  penalty up to a  maximum  of  20%  of  the
     assignment mark for each working day late may apply.
7    No  further assignments will be accepted for assessment  purposes
     after  assignments or model solutions have been released,  except
     in extenuating circumstances.

This information is accurate as at 28/11/97