64427 STOCHASTIC PROCESS MODELLING

Year	No.	Offer	Mode	Description			Cred. Pts
99	64427 	S2  	D 	STOCHASTIC PROCESS MODEL'G	1.00

Contents


STAFFING:

Examiner: A. PLANK
Moderator: R. ADDIE

RATIONALE:

Stochastic modelling finds application in diverse fields such as reliability theory, insurance, manpower planning, computer networking, traffic management, epidemiology, and many others. Knowledge of the techniques of stochastic modelling is particularly useful to statisticians and applied mathematicians.


SYNOPSIS:

This unit consists of techniques and applications of stochastic modelling. Study areas include: Markov modelling, random walks, renewal processes, diffusion process and various applications.


OBJECTIVES:

On completion of this unit students will be able to:

  1. recognise the relevance of the mathematical techniques
    presented in this unit to real-world problems;
  2. demonstrate the ability to apply these techniques to some real-
    world processes;
  3. understand the meaning of the concepts of stationarity,
    stochastic convergence, and ergodicity;
  4. demonstrate a knowledge and understanding of a range of random
    processes including stationary processes, the Poisson process,
    Markovian processes, random walks, branching processes,
    renewal processes, queueing processes, semi-Markov processes
    and diffusion processes;
  5. understand the concept of a diffusion approximation;
  6. be familiar with various computational methods used in
    probability theory.

TOPICS:

 Description                                                    Weighting(%)
  1. A selection from the following: 100.00 Probability theory, generating functions

  2. Stationary processes, ergodicity

  3. Random walks

  4. Markov processes in discrete and continuous time

  5. The homogeneous and nonhomogeneous Poisson process

  6. Renewal processes

  7. Semi-Markov processes

  8. Non-Markovian processes

  9. Martingales

  10. Diffusion processes, diffusion approximations

  11. Applications in manpower planning, traffic flow and gambling


ASSESSMENT DETAILS:

No  *F/S Marks     Due        Description                              Wtg(%)    LBL WWW
1   S              T.B.A.                                                        Y   N

*F=Formative, S=Summative

OTHER REQUIREMENTS:

1    In  accordance  with  University's  Assignment  Extension  Policy
     (Regulation  5.9), the examiner of a unit may grant an  extension
     of  the  due  date of an assignment in extenuating circumstances.
     This  policy  may  be  found in the USQ  Handbook,  the  Distance
     Education  Study  Guide and the Faculty of Sciences'  Orientation
     Handbook for new on-campus students. All students are advised  to
     study and follow the guidelines associated with this policy.

This information is accurate as at 17/11/99